E gypt will be on edge tomorrow when very large crowds are expected to take to the streets to mark the first anniversary of the election of President Mohamed Morsi. However, the demonstrations will not be to praise Morsi but to call for his resignation. He is unlikely to concede because equally large crowds have already assembled in his favour and in a long speech last Wednesday he said he had no intention of quitting although he admitted having made mistakes over the past year and offered consultations on some of the most criticised provisions of the country's Islamic-inclined constitution.
Once again, just as in the Arab Spring of 2011, the huge numbers of secular demonstrators appear to have no identifiable leader. The National Salvation Front remains ineffective; a little-known new movement, called Tamarod, claims to have organised a petition against Morsi with fifteen million signatories.
If tomorrow's protests lead to serious violence it is possible that the Army will step in and perhaps take interim power again before organising another round of elections. Egypt needs a competent government rather than more elections, something that Morsi has been unable to deliver in his first year in office. Shortages of everyday domestic requirements are commonplace, unemployment is increasing and the economy is almost broken. The country needs a charismatic and competent secular figure to provide disciplined opposition to President Morsi.